Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Hapoel Jerusalem had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Hapoel Jerusalem win was 0-1 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.