Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.