Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Tel Aviv win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.03% and a win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Ironi Kiryat Shmona win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.