Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LNZ Cherkasy win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.59% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%) , while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.