Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Independiente and Colon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Colon had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.02%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
| 62.46% | 22.81% | 14.72% |
| Both teams to score 42.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.09% | 54.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% | 17.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% | 47.39% |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.15% | 48.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.15% | 83.85% |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente 62.46%
Colon 14.72%
Draw 22.81%
| Independiente | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 14.77% 2-0 @ 13.02% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.46% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.72% |


