Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
| 30.2% | 29.49% | 40.31% |
| Both teams to score 42.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.89% | 64.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.74% | 83.26% |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% | 74.8% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% | 31.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% | 67.52% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Tucuman 30.19%
Independiente 40.31%
Draw 29.49%
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.65% Total : 30.19% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.86% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 13.82% 0-2 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-3 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 3.02% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.31% |


