Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Group Stage clash between Rosario Central and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
| 20.38% | 23.34% | 56.28% |
| Both teams to score 51.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% | 48.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% | 70.77% |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% | 74.95% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% | 17.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% | 47.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Rosario Central 20.38%
River Plate 56.27%
Draw 23.34%
| Rosario Central | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-1 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 11.53% 0-2 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 6% 1-3 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-4 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-5 @ 0.94% 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.95% Total : 56.27% |


