Copa Diego Maradona
Apr 3, 2021 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Carlos Tevez 19' goal
  • Jorman Campuzano 22' yellowcard
  • Mauro Zarate 65' goal
  • Mauro Zarate 77' yellowcard
  • goal Walter Bou 8'
  • yellowcard Raul Loaiza 74'
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 84'
  • yellowcard Adonis Frias 90'+4'

Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Mar 29, 2021 1.00am
Independiente 1 - 1 Boca Juniors

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Copa Diego Maradona
Last game
Mar 28, 2021 8.15pm
Defensa 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result

Boca Juniors 45.67%
Draw 27.16%
Defensa y Justicia 27.17%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.51%
Under 2.5 57.49%
Over 3.5 21.72%
Under 3.5 78.28%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 74.88%
Under 0.5 25.12%
Over 1.5 40.17%
Under 1.5 59.83%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 63.17%
Under 0.5 36.83%
Over 1.5 26.38%
Under 1.5 73.62%

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 45.67%
Draw 27.15%
Defensa y Justicia 27.17%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 8.82%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.15%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.62%
1-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2019 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Bautista Merlini 82' yellowcard
  • goal Agustin Almendra 19'
  • yellowcard Jan Hurtado 42'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 54'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 84'
  • yellowcard Julio Buffarini 87'
  • redcard Julio Buffarini 93'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 20
Feb 25, 2019 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Florencio Varela, Provincia de Buenos Aires)
  • Fernando Marquez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauro Zarate 17'
  • goal Carlos Tevez 50'
  • yellowcard Carlos Tevez 51'
  • yellowcard Dario Benedetto 84'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 84'