Boca Juniors
2 - 1
Defensa

Tevez (19'), Zarate (65')
Campuzano (22'), Zarate (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bou (8')
Loaiza (74'), Bou (84'), Frias (90+4')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
45.67%	27.16%	27.17%

Both teams to score 47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.51%

57.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.72%

78.28%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88%

25.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17%

59.83%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17%

36.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38%

73.62%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 45.67%

Defensa y Justicia 27.17%

Draw 27.15%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 12.78% 2-0 @ 8.83% 2-1 @ 8.82% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.67%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.17%

Boca Juniors2 - 1Defensa

Data Analysis

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Boca Juniors
2 - 1
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