Sarmiento vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.