Sarmiento
Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
Estadio Eva Perón de Junín
Defensa y Justicia

Sarmiento
3 - 1
Defensa

Torres (4', 51' pen.), Quiroga (56')
Bravo (36'), Salvareschi (45+1'), Garcia (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bou (78' pen.)
Benitez (39'), Loaiza (68'), Frias (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawDefensa y Justicia
26.04%27.18%46.78%
Both teams to score 46.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82%38.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05%74.95%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1%24.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48%59.52%
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 26.04%
    Defensa y Justicia 46.77%
    Draw 27.18%
SarmientoDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 1.97%
3-0 @ 1.41%
3-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.04%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 13.21%
0-2 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-3 @ 4.26%
1-3 @ 4.1%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.48%
1-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.77%

rhs 2.0


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