Defensa
1 - 2
Palmeiras

Romero (58')
Benitez (36'), Meza (55'), Beccacece (83'), Beccacece (84'), Frias (90+6'), Rodriguez (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rony (16'), Scarpa (75')
Garcia (33'), de Paula (79'), Vina (84'), Vina (88'), Scarpa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Defensa y Justicia and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Palmeiras
43.07%	26.07%	30.87%

Both teams to score 52.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.39%

51.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.6%

73.4%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2%

23.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03%

57.96%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08%

30.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.79%

67.21%

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 43.06%

Palmeiras 30.87%

Draw 26.06%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.58% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3% Total : 30.87%