Copa Libertadores
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Jacob Murillo
45'
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Emiliano Martinez
25'
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Ayrton Cougo
33'
Independiente del Valle vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result
Independiente del Valle
45.05%
Draw
26.67%
Nacional
28.29%
Both Teams to Score:
49.43%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.89%
Under 2.5
55.11%
Over 3.5
23.64%
Under 3.5
76.36%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5
75.63%
Under 0.5
24.37%
Over 1.5
41.22%
Under 1.5
58.78%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
65.35%
Under 0.5
34.65%
Over 1.5
28.63%
Under 1.5
71.37%
Score analysis
Independiente del Valle
45.05%
Draw
26.67%
Nacional
28.29%
Independiente del Valle
1-0
@
11.92%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.05%
2-1 @ 8.92%
2-0 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.05%
Draw
1-1
@
12.63%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.67%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.67%
Nacional
0-1
@
8.95%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.29%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 2.37%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.29%