MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 04:37:30| >> :120:7931:7931:
Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 18, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Flamengo
Independiente
5 - 0
Flamengo
Caicedo (41'), Preciado (49'), Torres (58'), Sanchez (81'), Caicedo (90+2')
Preciado (52'), Caicedo (89')
Preciado (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arao (64'), Henrique (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Flamengo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawFlamengo
29.74%25.68%44.58%
Both teams to score 53.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6%72.4%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86%31.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53%67.47%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81%56.19%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 29.74%
    Flamengo 44.58%
    Draw 25.67%
Independiente del ValleDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.2%
2-1 @ 7.12%
2-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 29.74%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-2 @ 7.78%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3.86%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.58%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2020 12.30am
Final
Flamengo
3-0
Independiente
Barbosa (19'), Gerson (62', 89')
Gerson (15'), Henrique (88')
Arao (23')

Franco (79')
Cabeza (86')
Feb 20, 2020 1.30am
Final
Independiente
2-2
Flamengo
Murillo (21'), Pellerano (90' pen.)
Pellerano (24'), Caicedo (45'), Guerrero (49'), Cabeza (87')
Henrique (66'), Pedro (86')
Gerson (20'), Luis (79'), Henrique (88'), Rafinha (90')
rhs 2.0
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