Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 1, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Independiente del Valle

Flamengo
4 - 0
Independiente

Lincoln (26'), Pedro (30'), Henrique (51', 72')
Rodriques Noga (90+2'), Noga (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Torres (22'), Guerrero (74'), Andres Alvarado (89'), Alvarado (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Independiente del Valle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawIndependiente del Valle
63.25%20.83%15.92%
Both teams to score 50.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12%44.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76%67.23%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45%13.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38%40.62%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87%41.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33%77.67%
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 63.24%
    Independiente del Valle 15.92%
    Draw 20.83%
FlamengoDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 11.13%
2-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 2.93%
5-0 @ 1.48%
4-2 @ 1.46%
5-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 63.24%
1-1 @ 9.89%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.83%
0-1 @ 4.95%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.2%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 15.92%