Independiente6 - 2Union Espanola
Ortiz (62'), Guerrero (90+5')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Union Espanola had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Union Espanola win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Union Espanola |
| 63.34% | 19.58% | 17.07% |
| Both teams to score 57.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.03% | 36.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.84% | 59.16% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.89% | 11.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.47% | 35.53% |
| Union Espanola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% | 71.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Union Espanola |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.36% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.8% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.74% 5-0 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.61% Total : 63.34% | 1-1 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 4.72% 0-1 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 17.07% |


