Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 32.98% | 26.62% | 40.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% | 53.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% | 74.78% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% | 30.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% | 66.47% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% | 60.88% |
| Score Analysis |
Defensa y Justicia 32.98%
Palmeiras 40.38%
Draw 26.61%
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.38% |
How you voted: Defensa vs Palmeiras
Defensa y Justicia
11.1%Draw
0.0%Palmeiras
88.9%9


