Palmeiras
3 - 4
Defensa

Rafael (11'), Willian (35'), Scarpa (75')
Scarpa (71'), Garcia (78'), Barbosa da Silva (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Bou (9', 27'), Rodriguez (52'), Romero (90+4')
Rodriguez (41'), Frias (45+2'), Tripichio (54'), Britez (79'), Romero (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
57.67%	25.27%	17.06%

Both teams to score 40.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1%

59.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83%

80.16%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15%

20.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.47%

53.52%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.35%

48.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.3%

83.7%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 57.65%

Defensa y Justicia 17.06%

Draw 25.25%

Palmeiras	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.89% 2-0 @ 12.46% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.02% Total : 57.65%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 3.24% Other @ 0.44% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 7.31% 1-2 @ 4.13% 0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 17.06%