Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 40.45% | 26.85% | 32.69% |
| Both teams to score 50.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% | 54.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% | 75.62% |
| Independiente del Valle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.54% | 61.46% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% | 30.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% | 67.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Independiente del Valle 40.44%
Palmeiras 32.69%
Draw 26.85%
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.69% |


