Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
May 8, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Monumental Jose Fierro
Tucuman5 - 0Defensa
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 33.05% | 25.96% | 40.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% | 50.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% | 72.42% |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% | 64.77% |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% | 24.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Tucuman 33.05%
Defensa y Justicia 40.99%
Draw 25.96%
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.72% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.99% |


