Universitario
1 - 1
Defensa

Quintero Medina (45+5')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Romero (53')
Rodriguez (36'), Rotondi (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
40.42%	26.01%	33.57%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.44%

50.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.52%

72.47%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33%

24.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.8%

59.2%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4%

28.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6%

64.39%

Score Analysis

Universitario 40.42%

Defensa y Justicia 33.57%

Draw 26.01%

Universitario	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.42%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-2 @ 5.53% 1-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.57%