MX23RW : Friday, March 29 00:39:05| >> :60:215:215:
Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental
Defensa y Justicia

Universitario
1 - 1
Defensa

Quintero Medina (45+5')
Corzo (63'), Leonardo Rugel Moran (85'), Alfageme (87'), Fernando Zevallos Villanueva (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romero (53')
Rodriguez (36'), Rotondi (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
UniversitarioDrawDefensa y Justicia
40.42%26.01%33.57%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.44%50.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.52%72.47%
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8%59.2%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4%28.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6%64.39%
Score Analysis
    Universitario 40.42%
    Defensa y Justicia 33.57%
    Draw 26.01%
UniversitarioDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 40.42%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 7.74%
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 33.57%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Defensa
3-0
Universitario
Pizzini (33'), Bou (71', 80' pen.)
Beccacece (38'), Britez (39'), Pizzini (54'), Frias (65')

Andre Alfageme Palacios (38'), Novick (66')
rhs 2.0
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