Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 19, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 1
Independiente

Hulk (9', 56'), Savio (90+6')
Silva (45'), Sasha (67'), Savio (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vargas (82')
Segovia (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

Last Six:

Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Next Game: Atletico Mineiro vs. Santos
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Corinthians	10	4	18
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16
4	Athletico Paranaense	10	-1	16

Independiente del Valle

Last Six:

Last Game: Independiente 3-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Independiente vs. Lanus
Thursday, June 30 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 9.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.53%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.71%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Independiente del Valle
68.82% ( 0)	21.75% ( 0.01)	9.43% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 31.36% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.62% (

-0.07)

61.38% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.72% (

-0.05)

81.28% (

0.05)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.02)

17.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

-0.04)

47.58% (

0.04)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.91% (

-0.07)

62.09% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.32% (

-0.03)

91.68% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 68.81%

Independiente del Valle 9.43%

Draw 21.75%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 18.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 16.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 68.81%	0-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 9.43%