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Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
4 - 1
Tachira

Scarpa (15', 22' pen., 68' pen.), Rony (57')
Rafael (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Fran Gutierrez Abreu (48')
Benitez (36'), Flores (42'), Restrepo (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and Deportivo Tachira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Deportivo Tachira

Last Six:
    Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
    Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
    Next Game: Tachira vs. Santos
    Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 17.08%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

    Result
    PalmeirasDrawDeportivo Tachira
    60.09%22.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)17.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
    Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    48.78% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)51.22% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    26.94% (-0.012 -0.01)73.06% (0.012 0.01)
    Palmeiras Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.33% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)16.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    53.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)46.54% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
    Deportivo Tachira Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    56.54% (-0.012 -0.01)43.46% (0.012 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    20.32% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)79.67% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
    Score Analysis
        Palmeiras 60.07%
        Deportivo Tachira 17.08%
        Draw 22.83%
    PalmeirasDrawDeportivo Tachira
    1-0 @ 12.97%
    2-0 @ 11.62%
    2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    3-0 @ 6.94%
    3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    4-0 @ 3.11%
    4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    5-0 @ 1.11%
    4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 1.83%
    Total : 60.07%
    		1-1 @ 10.81%
    0-0 @ 7.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
    2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    Other @ 0.74%
    Total : 22.83%
    		0-1 @ 6.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.52%
    1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    2-3 @ 1.12%
    Other @ 1.64%
    Total : 17.08%

    How you voted: Palmeiras vs Tachira

    Palmeiras
    100%
    Draw
    0.0%
    Deportivo Tachira
    0.0%
    6
    Head to Head
    Apr 7, 2022 1am
    Tachira
    0-4
    Palmeiras

    Restrepo (63'), Flores (87')
    Dudu (8'), Veiga (35'), Navarro (48', 53')
    Jailson (36'), Atuesta (66')
    Jailson (72')