Copa Libertadores
May 25, 2022 1.30am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Gustavo Scarpa 15' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 22' goal
  • Ze Rafael 42' yellowcard
  • Rony 57' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 68' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Benitez 36'
  • yellowcard Francisco Flores 42'
  • goal Jean Fran Gutierrez Abreu 48'
  • yellowcard Edisson Restrepo 66'

Palmeiras vs Deportivo Tachira - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 18, 2022 11.00pm
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Emelec

Deportivo Tachira

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 19, 2022 1.00am
Tachira 3 - 0 Independiente Petrolero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Palmeiras 60.09%
Draw 22.84% (+0.01)
Deportivo Tachira 17.08% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.11% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.78% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 51.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 26.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.06% (+0.02)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 83.33% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.67% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.54% (+0.01)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5 56.54% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.46% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.32% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 79.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 60.07%
Draw 22.83%
Deportivo Tachira 17.08%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.94%
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 60.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 7.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.83%
Deportivo Tachira
0-1 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.08%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 7, 2022 1.00am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo
  • Edisson Restrepo Perea 63' yellowcard
  • Edisson Restrepo 63' yellowcard
  • Francisco Flores 87' yellowcard
  • goal Dudu 8'
  • goal Raphael Veiga 35'
  • yellowcard Jailson 36'
  • goal Rafael Navarro 48'
  • goal Rafael Navarro 53'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 66'
  • redcard Jailson 72'