Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.