Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 13, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
8 - 1
Independiente Petrolero

Rafael (41'), Navarro (47', 54', 56', 78'), Rony (80'), Veiga (86', 90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Erik Correa Villero (6'), Erick Correa (6')
Geovanny Folleco Palacios (8'), Folleco (8'), Rioja (42'), Cristaldo (48'), Gimenez Flamminini (90'), Gimenez (90')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Independiente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Next Game: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Corinthians	10	4	18
2	Palmeiras	9	8	16
3	Atletico Mineiro	10	3	16

Independiente Petrolero

Last Six:

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Independiente Petrolero
59.24%	22.21%	18.54%

Both teams to score 51.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55%

46.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27%

68.72%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69%

15.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.96%

44.03%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.1%

38.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.37%

75.62%

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 59.23%

Independiente Petrolero 18.54%

Draw 22.21%

Palmeiras	Draw	Independiente Petrolero
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.16% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.23%	1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.21%	0-1 @ 5.62% 1-2 @ 4.98% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.54%