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Alejandro Cabeza
16'
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Alejandro Cabeza
35'
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Sebastian Rodriguez
38'
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Jose Cevallos
45'+1'
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Bryan Carabali
45'+3'
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Dixon Arroyo
49'
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Joao Rojas
54'
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Alejandro Cabeza
67'
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Mauro Quiroga
75'
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Sebastian Rodriguez
77'
Emelec vs Independiente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Emelec would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Emelec Goals
Independiente Petrolero Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 48.36%
2-2 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 28.72%
Head to Head
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Jonatan Cristaldo
88'
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Jonatan Cristaldo
88'
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Jackson Gabriel Rodriguez Perlaza
8'
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Jackson Rodriguez
8'
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Alexis Zapata
53'
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Mauro Quiroga
90'+1'