Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio George Capwell

Emelec
1 - 3
Palmeiras

Rojas (62')
Steven Quintero Nazareno (34'), Quintero (34'), Fernando Guevara Chavez (51'), Guevara (51'), Zapata (69'), Arroyo (81')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rony (19'), Veron (25'), Lopes (90+2')
Wesley (57'), Scarpa (81')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Emelec and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Emelec win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Emelec	Draw	Palmeiras
21.43%	27.44%	51.13%

Both teams to score 41.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.67%

62.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.03%

81.97%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.03%

44.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.09%

80.91%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31%

24.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78%

59.22%

Score Analysis

Emelec 21.43%

Palmeiras 51.12%

Draw 27.44%

Emelec	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 4.96% 2-0 @ 3.55% 3-1 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 0.94% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.43%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 15.53% 0-2 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 8.68% 0-3 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.13% Total : 51.12%