Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio George Capwell
Emelec1 - 3Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Emelec and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 5 | 17 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 21.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Emelec win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emelec | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 21.43% | 27.44% | 51.13% |
| Both teams to score 41.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
