Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2022 1.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio George Capwell
  • Joel Steven Quintero Nazareno 34' yellowcard
  • Joel Quintero 34' yellowcard
  • Eddie Fernando Guevara Chavez 51' yellowcard
  • Eddie Guevara 51' yellowcard
  • Joao Rojas 62' goal
  • Alexis Zapata 69' yellowcard
  • Dixon Arroyo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Rony 19'
  • goal Gabriel Veron 25'
  • yellowcard Wesley 57'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 81'
  • goal Breno Lopes 90'+2'

Emelec vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Emelec

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2022 3.00am
Emelec 1 - 1 Tachira

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 13, 2022 1.30am
Palmeiras 8 - 1 Independiente Petrolero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 21.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Emelec win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Emelec 21.43%
Draw 27.44%
Palmeiras 51.13%

Both Teams to Score: 

41.44%

Goals

Over 2.5 37.67%
Under 2.5 62.32%
Over 3.5 18.03%
Under 3.5 81.97%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 55.03%
Under 0.5 44.97%
Over 1.5 19.09%
Under 1.5 80.91%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 75.31%
Under 0.5 24.69%
Over 1.5 40.78%
Under 1.5 59.22%

Score analysis

Emelec 21.43%
Draw 27.44%
Palmeiras 51.12%
Emelec
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 4.96%
2-0 @ 3.55%
3-1 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 21.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 11.1%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.44%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 15.53%
0-2 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-3 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-4 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 51.12%