Copa Libertadores
Apr 7, 2022 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Olímpico Patria
  • Jonatan Cristaldo 88' goal
  • Jonatan Cristaldo 88' goal
  • yellowcard Jackson Gabriel Rodriguez Perlaza 8'
  • yellowcard Jackson Rodriguez 8'
  • yellowcard Alexis Zapata 53'
  • goal Mauro Quiroga 90'+1'

Independiente Petrolero vs Emelec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

Emelec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Independiente Petrolero 31.31%
Draw 23.97%
Emelec 44.72%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.92%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.8%
Under 2.5 42.19%
Over 3.5 35.4%
Under 3.5 64.6%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 74.06%
Under 0.5 25.93%
Over 1.5 39.06%
Under 1.5 60.93%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5 80.9%
Under 0.5 19.09%
Over 1.5 49.29%
Under 1.5 50.71%

Score analysis

Independiente Petrolero 31.31%
Draw 23.96%
Emelec 44.72%
Independiente Petrolero
2-1 @ 7.47%
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-0 @ 4.51%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-2 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.96%
Emelec
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.06%
0-3 @ 3.75%
2-3 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.09%
0-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 44.72%