Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 7, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Olímpico Patria

Independiente Petrolero
1 - 1
Emelec

Cristaldo (88', 88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Quiroga (90+1')
Gabriel Rodriguez Perlaza (8'), Rodriguez (8'), Zapata (53')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Petrolero and Emelec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Emelec

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emelec win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emelec win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Independiente Petrolero	Draw	Emelec
31.31%	23.97%	44.72%

Both teams to score 59.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.8%

42.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.4%

64.6%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06%

60.93%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9%

19.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29%

50.71%

Score Analysis

Independiente Petrolero 31.31%

Emelec 44.72%

Draw 23.96%

Independiente Petrolero	Draw	Emelec
2-1 @ 7.47% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.31%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 5.06% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.55% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.3% Total : 44.72%