Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Independiente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Deportivo Tachira would win this match.