Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 4, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Olímpico Patria

Independiente Petrolero
0 - 5
Palmeiras

Alaca Maconde (71'), Alaca (71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Veiga (17' pen., 22', 60'), Navarro (62'), Cerqueira (74')
Rony (37'), Rocha (39'), Wesley (69'), Mayke (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Petrolero and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Petrolero

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Independiente Petrolero had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 20.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.81%), while for a Independiente Petrolero win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Independiente Petrolero	Draw	Palmeiras
14.99%	28.13%	56.88%

Both teams to score 31.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.89%

70.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.7%

87.3%

Independiente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.27%

57.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.55%

89.45%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Score Analysis

Independiente Petrolero 14.99%

Palmeiras 56.87%

Draw 28.13%

Independiente Petrolero	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 3.04% 2-0 @ 2.24% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.99%	0-0 @ 14.81% 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.18% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 20.15% 0-2 @ 13.7% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-3 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-4 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.65% Total : 56.87%