Brasileiro | Gameweek 11

Jun 12, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estádio Couto Pereira

Coritiba
0 - 2
Palmeiras

Biro (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dudu (23'), Rony (63')
Dudu (34'), Silva de Freitas (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Coritiba	Draw	Palmeiras
22.54% ( 0.17)	25.36% ( 0.06)	52.1% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

-0.09)

54.25% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

-0.07)

75.65% (

0.07)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81% (

0.11)

39.19% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1% (

0.11)

75.9% (

-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

-0.13)

20.84% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48% (

-0.2)

53.52% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Coritiba 22.54%

Palmeiras 52.09%

Draw 25.35%

Coritiba	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 22.54%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 52.09%