Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Jun 12, 2022 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Guilherme Biro 36' yellowcard
  • Thonny Anderson 72' redcard
  • goal Dudu 23'
  • yellowcard Dudu 34'
  • goal Rony 63'
  • yellowcard Fabio Silva de Freitas 84'

Coritiba vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Jun 10, 2022 12.00am
Coritiba 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Alef Manga

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 11.00pm
Palmeiras 4 - 0 Botafogo
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Rony

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Coritiba 22.54% (+0.17)
Draw 25.36% (+0.07)
Palmeiras 52.1% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.14% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.75% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.25% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.35% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.65% (+0.07)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5 60.81% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 39.19% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 24.1% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 75.9% (-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 20.84% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 46.48% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 53.52% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Coritiba 22.54%
Draw 25.35%
Palmeiras 52.09%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 7.65% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.62% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.58% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.35%
Palmeiras
0-1 @ 12.8% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.04% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.06% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 52.09%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Neilton 75' yellowcard
  • Jonathan 88' goal
  • Osman 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Kuscevic 18'
  • yellowcard Renan 23'
  • redcard Benjamin Kuscevic 63'
  • yellowcard D 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Oct 14, 2020 10.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ze Rafael 21' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Veron 38' goal
  • Felipe Melo 53' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Veron 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yan Sasse 3'
  • goal Robson 8'
  • goal Robson 24'
  • goal Giovanni Augusto 65'
  • yellowcard Sabino 90'+3'