Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.