Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2022 at 11pm UK
Castelao
Coritiba

Ceara
1 - 1
Coritiba

Mendoza (37')
Lindoso (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (86')
Farias (15'), Gabriel de Souza Mendes (24'), Val (45'), Marcos Lemes (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Coritiba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Six:
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Coritiba

Last Six:
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Coritiba vs. Palmeiras
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
CearaDrawCoritiba
59.86% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)23.36% (0.094999999999999 0.09)16.78% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.05% (-0.292 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.378 -0.38)53.68% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.319 -0.32)75.17% (0.32300000000001 0.32)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (-0.164 -0.16)17.63% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (-0.289 -0.29)48.23% (0.291 0.29)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.7% (-0.242 -0.24)45.3% (0.245 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (-0.192 -0.19)81.17% (0.194 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 59.85%
    Coritiba 16.78%
    Draw 23.36%
CearaDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 13.86% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 59.85%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 16.78%

How you voted: Ceara vs Coritiba

Ceara
61.5%
Draw
7.7%
Coritiba
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 9.30pm
Coritiba
0-2
Ceara

Silva (44')
Vizeu (51'), Saulo (74')
Oct 24, 2020 11pm
Ceara
2-1
Coritiba
Vinicius (8'), Eduardo (52')
Naressi (29'), Charles (65'), Alyson (90+2')
Muniz Carvalho (2')
Robson (89')