Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 26, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
0 - 2
Ceara

Benegas (45+4'), Vigo (62'), Manuel Insaurralde (76'), Marquez (81'), Marquez (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lindoso (45+5'), Mendoza (90+1')
Vinicius (28'), Richard (45+1'), Richardson (68'), Richardson (69'), Lima (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Ceara
36.53% ( -0.04)	28.28% ( -0.01)	35.19% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.72% (

0.04)

59.28% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

0.03)

79.68% (

-0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.96% (

-0)

31.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.64% (

-0)

67.36% (

0.01)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1% (

0.05)

31.9% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65% (

0.06)

68.35% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Independiente 36.53%

Ceara 35.19%

Draw 28.27%

Independiente	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 36.53%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 35.19%