Copa Sudamericana
May 26, 2022 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Leandro Benegas 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Alex Vigo 62' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 76' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Marquez 81' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Marquez 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius 28'
  • yellowcard Richard 45'+1'
  • goal Rodrigo Lindoso 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Richardson 68'
  • yellowcard Richardson 69'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 73'
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 90'+1'

Independiente vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 19, 2022 11.15pm
Independiente 4 - 0 Deportivo

Ceara

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 17, 2022 11.15pm
Ceara 6 - 0 General Caballero JLM

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 36.53% (-0.04)
Draw 28.28% (-0.01)
Ceara 35.19% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.72% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 59.28% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.32% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 79.68% (-0.04)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 68.96% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.36% (+0.01)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 68.1% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 31.9% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 31.65% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 68.35% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Independiente 36.53%
Draw 28.27%
Ceara 35.19%
Independiente
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.27%
Ceara
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 7.56% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.19%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
  • Stiven Mendoza 7' yellowcard
  • Nino Paraiba 56' yellowcard
  • Stiven Mendoza 60' goal
  • Nino Paraiba 63' redcard
  • Ze Roberto 66' goal
  • Fernando Sobral 69' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 7'
  • redcard Ayrton Costa 12'
  • goal Gaston Togni 32'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Asis 55'
  • yellowcard Domingo Blanco 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Sosa 67'