MX23RW : Thursday, June 30 23:58:10| >> :60:1831:1831:
May 26, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente
0 - 2
Ceara

Benegas (45+4'), Vigo (62'), Manuel Insaurralde (76'), Marquez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lindoso (45+5'), Mendoza (90+1')
Vinicius (28'), Richard (45+1'), Richardson (68'), Lima (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente and Ceara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: America Mineiro 0-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Goias vs. Ceara
Sunday, June 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Independiente 2-2 Ceara

There has been very little to separate these two teams in this competition so far, and that will likely end up being the case again this week. They proved to be two evenly-matched outfits earlier this season, and with qualification already guaranteed a closely-contested draw would likely suit both. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawCeara
36.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 28.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 35.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.72% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.28% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)79.68% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)31.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.054000000000002 0.05)31.9% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.061 0.06)68.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 36.53%
    Ceara 35.19%
    Draw 28.27%
IndependienteDrawCeara
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 9.9% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 11.31%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.19%

How you voted: Independiente vs Ceara

Independiente
22.2%
Draw
77.8%
Ceara
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Ceara
2-1
Independiente
Mendoza (60' pen.), Roberto (66')
Mendoza (7'), Paraiba (56'), Sobral (69'), Pacheco (75')
Paraiba (63')
Togni (32')
Costa (7'), Asis (55'), Blanco (58'), Romero (59'), Sosa (67')
Costa (12')

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