Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Deportivo La Guaira and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Independiente |
| 42.11% | 25.74% | 32.15% |
| Both teams to score 54.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% | 71.8% |
| Deportivo La Guaira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% | 23.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% | 29.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% | 65.07% |
| Score Analysis |
Deportivo La Guaira 42.11%
Independiente 32.15%
Draw 25.74%
| Deportivo La Guaira | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.15% |
How you voted: Deportivo vs Independiente
Deportivo La Guaira
28.6%Draw
14.3%Independiente
57.1%7
Form Guide


