Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Rosario3 - 0Independiente
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barreto (17'), (60'), Romero (82'), Manuel Insaurralde (88'), Ortega (90+4')
Manuel Insaurralde (89')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Huracan vs. Rosario
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Independiente |
| 40.48% | 25.73% | 33.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
