Copa Sudamericana
Ceara
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Independiente
  • Stiven Mendoza 7' yellowcard
  • Nino Paraiba 56' yellowcard
  • Stiven Mendoza 60' goal
  • Nino Paraiba 63' redcard
  • Ze Roberto 66' goal
  • Fernando Sobral 69' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayrton Costa 7'
  • redcard Ayrton Costa 12'
  • goal Gaston Togni 32'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Asis 55'
  • yellowcard Domingo Blanco 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 59'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Sosa 67'

Ceara vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

All competitions

Independiente

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result

Ceara 52.13%
Draw 26.89%
Independiente 20.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.06%
Under 2.5 60.94%
Over 3.5 19.05%
Under 3.5 80.95%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 76.38%
Under 0.5 23.62%
Over 1.5 42.29%
Under 1.5 57.71%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 55.37%
Under 0.5 44.63%
Over 1.5 19.36%
Under 1.5 80.64%

Score analysis

Ceara 52.12%
Draw 26.88%
Independiente 20.98%
Ceara
1-0 @ 15.21%
2-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.86%
3-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 4.26%
4-0 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 52.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 10.54%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.88%
Independiente
0-1 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 20.98%

Form Data

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Ceara
Ceara 0 - 0 America Mineiro
Flamengo 2 - 1 Ceara
Ceara 2 - 1 Corinthians
Atletico GO 1 - 1 Ceara
Fortaleza 0 - 4 Ceara
Barracas Central 0 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 2 Racing
Independiente 1 - 1 C. Cordoba
Godoy Cruz 3 - 3 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 2 Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Independiente