H. Colmenares
2 - 0
Deportivo

(Deportivo La Guaira win 3-2 on aggregate)

Magallan (44'), Gonzalez (55')
Melo (4'), Zapata (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Flores (64')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Hermanos Colmenares and Deportivo La Guaira.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hermanos Colmenares

Last Game: Deportivo 3-0 H. Colmenares
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Deportivo La Guaira

Last Game: Deportivo 0-1 General Caballero JLM
Thursday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hermanos Colmenares win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hermanos Colmenares win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hermanos Colmenares would win this match.

Result
Hermanos Colmenares	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
47.25%	26.76%	25.98%

Both teams to score 47.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.25%

56.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.31%

77.69%

Hermanos Colmenares Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97%

24.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7%

58.3%

Deportivo La Guaira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.57%

37.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.79%

74.21%

Score Analysis

Hermanos Colmenares 47.25%

Deportivo La Guaira 25.98%

Draw 26.76%

Hermanos Colmenares	Draw	Deportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 12.82% 2-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.52% Total : 47.25%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.98%