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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
May 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Independiente

Lanus
1 - 0
Independiente

Gonzalez (90+2')
Perez (45+1'), Gonzalez (86'), Varaldo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vigo (32'), Poblete (58'), Costa (60'), Ostachuk (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Independiente
Saturday, June 4 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Independiente vs. Talleres
Saturday, June 11 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.

Result
LanusDrawIndependiente
44.85%25.86%29.29%
Both teams to score 52.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57%51.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76%73.24%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13%22.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39%56.6%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 44.85%
    Independiente 29.29%
    Draw 25.85%
LanusDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.34%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.29%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2021 8.30pm
Independiente
0-1
Lanus

Velasco (33'), Romero (77'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Manuel Lopez (50')
Morel (33'), Belmonte (40'), Sand (45+2')
Belmonte (45+2')
Feb 16, 2021 12.30am
Independiente
0-1
Lanus

Asis (90+2')
Burdisso (68')
Burdisso (71'), Bernabei (80'), Esquivel (90+3')
Dec 17, 2020 10.15pm
Independiente
1-3
Lanus
Roa (89')
Franco (5')
Belmonte (15'), Sand (17'), Orsini (44')
Acosta (45+2'), De la Vega (61')
Dec 10, 2020 10.15pm
Sep 15, 2019 9.45pm
Independiente
2-2
Lanus
Romero (24', 47')
Barboza (48'), Figal (53'), Domingo (74'), Blanco (75')
Valenti (49'), Sand (54')
Di Placido (42'), Quignon (84')
rhs 2.0
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