Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
3 - 1
Lanus

Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Lanus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

Last Six:
Last Game: Patronato 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Velez Sarsfield vs. Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawLanus
52.67%24.07%23.27%
Both teams to score 52.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.57%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65%18.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54%49.46%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.74%35.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99%72.01%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 52.66%
    Lanus 23.27%
    Draw 24.06%
Velez SarsfieldDrawLanus
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 52.66%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 3.52%
1-3 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2%
Total : 23.27%

Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
Acosta (24'), Quignon (46'), B (51')

Mancuello (31'), De La Fuente (70'), Martin Lucero (82')
Tarragona (44')
Jan 7, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
0-1
Lanus

Ortega (61'), Mancuello (84'), Galdames (90+1')
Sand (39')
Acosta (3'), Morales (26'), De la Vega (81')
Aug 18, 2019 9.45pm
Lanus
3-1
Velez Sarsfield
Gianetti (48' og.), Sand (56' pen.), Orsini (90')
Auzqui (3'), Quignon (31'), Pasquini (60'), Belmonte (85')
Acosta (51' og.)
Dominguez (73'), Galdames (75')