Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.