Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Wanderers0 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Lanus |
| 42.6% | 26.11% | 31.3% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
