Penarol
1 - 0
Wanderers

Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Gargano (11'), Ramos (32'), Mansilla (44'), Musto (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bravo (40'), Veglio (45+2'), Aguirre (90+2')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
51.11%	26.83%	22.06%

Both teams to score 43.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.14%

59.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.87%

80.13%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39%

23.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31%

57.69%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.13%

42.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.82%

79.19%

Score Analysis

Penarol 51.1%

Montevideo Wanderers 22.06%

Draw 26.83%

Penarol	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 14.61% 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 4.3% 4-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.1%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 8.57% 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.07% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.06%