Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 5, 2022 at 1am UK

Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia
1 - 0
Penarol

Salcedo (33')
Felipe Zarate Cardozo (5'), Zarate (5'), Gomez (36'), Cardozo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Musto (21'), Elizalde (53')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Olimpia and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Olimpia in this match.

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Penarol
51.71%	25.1%	23.19%

Both teams to score 49.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.36%

52.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.71%

74.29%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.64%

20.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.24%

52.76%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.34%

37.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.56%

74.44%

Score Analysis

Olimpia 51.71%

Penarol 23.19%

Draw 25.09%

Olimpia	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.71%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.19%