Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 1, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia
2 - 0
Atletico GO

Gonzalez (36'), Silva (56')
Torres (47'), Silva (54'), Otalvaro (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hayner (15'), Churin (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Olimpia and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Atletico Goianiense

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawAtletico Goianiense
46.58% (0.033999999999999 0.03)29.08% (-0.035 -0.04)24.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 40.33% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.74% (0.102 0.1)65.26% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.93% (0.072999999999999 0.07)84.07% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (0.069999999999993 0.07)28.28% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (0.085000000000001 0.09)64% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (0.062000000000005 0.06)43.77% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)79.93% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 46.58%
    Atletico Goianiense 24.32%
    Draw 29.07%
OlimpiaDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Olimpia vs Atletico GO

Olimpia
43.5%
Draw
56.5%
Atletico Goianiense
0.0%
23