Brasileiro | Gameweek 12

Jun 16, 2022 at 10pm UK

Estadio Palestra Italia

Palmeiras
4 - 2
Atletico GO

Rafael (42'), Gomez (44', 45+4'), Scarpa (45')
Danilo (23'), Rafael (50')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Churin (29', 79')
Churin (39')
Henrique (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.02%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
72.77% ( 0.09)	17.71% ( -0.06)	9.52% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.89% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.43% (

0.12)

46.57% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.15% (

0.11)

68.85% (

-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

0.06)

11.35% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.95% (

0.13)

36.05% (

-0.13)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.25% (

52.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.51% (

-0)

86.49% (

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 72.76%

Atletico Goianiense 9.52%

Draw 17.71%

Palmeiras	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
2-0 @ 14.17% 1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 72.76%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 17.71%	0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 9.52%