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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK
General Pablo Rojas Stadium

Cerro Porteno
0 - 1
Olimpia


Patino (23'), Cardozo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cardozo (10')
Ortiz (17'), Gonzalez (72'), Gamarra (85'), Zarate (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Porteno

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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Olimpia

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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We said: Cerro Porteno 3-1 Olimpia

 Having outperformed their rivals in the group stage and clinched an emphatic 4-0 victory over Olimpia at the weekend, Cerro Porteno enter the contest with significant momentum, and we think that they will utilise that to their advantage to power past their opponents on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawOlimpia
49.03% (0.242 0.24) 23.85% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.207 -0.21)44.12% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.202 -0.2)66.5% (0.199 0.2)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (0.023000000000003 0.02)49.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.77% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.355 -0.36)65.84% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 49.03%
    Olimpia 27.13%
    Draw 23.85%
Cerro PortenoDrawOlimpia
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia

Cerro Porteno
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Olimpia
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Olimpia
0-0
Cerro Porteno

Quintana (28'), Gonzalez (61'), Cardozo (77')

Espinola (12'), Piris (18'), Rivas (45+1'), Carrascal (61')
rhs 2.0
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