Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK
General Pablo Rojas Stadium

Cerro Porteno
0 - 1
Olimpia


Patino (23'), Cardozo (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cardozo (10')
Ortiz (17'), Gonzalez (72'), Gamarra (85'), Zarate (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Cerro Porteno and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Cerro Porteno vs. Palmeiras
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawOlimpia
49.03% (0.242 0.24)23.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57.51% (-0.228 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.207 -0.21)44.12% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.202 -0.2)66.5% (0.199 0.2)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (0.013000000000005 0.01)18.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.94% (0.023000000000003 0.02)49.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.77% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.355 -0.36)65.84% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 49.03%
    Olimpia 27.13%
    Draw 23.85%
Cerro PortenoDrawOlimpia
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia

Cerro Porteno
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Olimpia
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Olimpia
0-0
Cerro Porteno

Quintana (28'), Gonzalez (61'), Cardozo (77')

Espinola (12'), Piris (18'), Rivas (45+1'), Carrascal (61')
rhs 2.0


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