Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Manuel Ferreira

Olimpia
2 - 0
Fluminense

(3-3 on aggregate)

Eduardo Recalde (36'), Paiva (89')
Cardozo (15'), Ortiz (20'), Olveira (69'), Gomez (77'), Salcedo (84'), Paiva (90')

FT
(aet)

Braz (71'), Cristiano (72')
Nino (80')

Olimpia win 4-1 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Olimpia and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).

Result
Olimpia	Draw	Fluminense
42.52%	24.34%	33.14%

Both teams to score 59.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75%

43.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.36%

65.64%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52%

20.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.04%

52.96%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89%

60.11%

Score Analysis

Olimpia 42.52%

Fluminense 33.14%

Draw 24.34%

Olimpia	Draw	Fluminense
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.85% Total : 42.52%	1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.34%	1-2 @ 7.76% 0-1 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 3.55% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.14%