Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Fluminense
3 - 1
Olimpia

(3-3 on aggregate)

Cano (11', 68'), Henrique (47')
Cano (43'), Andre (90+3'), Braz (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gonzalez (16')
Salcedo (27'), Salazar (40'), Olveira (42'), Ortiz (45+2'), Torres (54'), Alcaraz (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Fluminense and Olimpia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olimpia

Last Six:

Last Game: Cerro Porteno 0-1 Olimpia
Thursday, May 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Olimpia vs. Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Olimpia
57.35%	26.33%	16.31%

Both teams to score 37.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.97%

64.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.79%

83.21%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3%

22.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65%

56.35%

Olimpia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.87%

52.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.91%

86.09%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 57.34%

Olimpia 16.31%

Draw 26.32%

Fluminense	Draw	Olimpia
1-0 @ 17.54% 2-0 @ 13.01% 2-1 @ 8.48% 3-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 4.19% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.34%	0-0 @ 11.82% 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 2.76% Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 2.51% Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.31%