Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Flamengo

Olimpia
1 - 4
Flamengo

Torres (45+14')
Ortiz (20'), Orzusa (38'), Gonzalez (42'), Salcedo (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
De Arrascaeta (16'), Barbosa (45+12' pen., 52'), Vitinho (90+1')
Luis (42'), Henrique (45'), Isla (54'), De Arrascaeta (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Olimpia and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Olimpia win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawFlamengo
21.08%23.37%55.55%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07%47.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93%37.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15%73.85%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71%47.29%
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 21.08%
    Flamengo 55.55%
    Draw 23.36%
OlimpiaDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 6.29%
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 3.12%
3-1 @ 1.82%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 21.08%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 11.19%
0-2 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 2.87%
0-4 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 2.55%
2-4 @ 1.27%
0-5 @ 0.91%
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2%
Total : 55.55%

How you voted: Olimpia vs Flamengo

Olimpia
15.6%
Draw
18.8%
Flamengo
65.6%
32
rhs 2.0


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