Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Chapecoense

Fluminense
3 - 0
Chapecoense

Braz (49'), Henrique (59'), Hernandez (90+2', 90+1')
Braz (45+2'), Martins (49'), Hernandez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ignacio (5'), Ronei (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawChapecoense
64%22.41%13.58%
Both teams to score 40.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52%55.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34%76.66%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.8%
Chapecoense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.08%50.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.71%85.29%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 63.99%
    Chapecoense 13.58%
    Draw 22.41%
FluminenseDrawChapecoense
1-0 @ 15.26%
2-0 @ 13.6%
2-1 @ 9.18%
3-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 5.46%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.84%
5-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 63.99%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 5.78%
1-2 @ 3.48%
0-2 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.58%