Fluminense vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.