Flu have only conceded two goals in their previous five home fixtures and should be full of confidence with their inspirational leader Fred back in the fold, not to mention victories over Palmeiras (2-1) and Flamengo (3-1) on their current unbeaten run at the Maracana, which should have them feeling pretty good about their chances in this one.
Colorado have scored once in their last six road matches, with their previous three defeats coming versus sides who are below them in the table, two of whom (Sao Paulo and Juventude) are fighting to stave off relegation, so needless to say the 2020 league runners-up are not trending in the right direction.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
