Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Goianiense in this match.