Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sport Recife in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 43.46% | 26.54% | 29.99% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% | 75.32% |
| Chapecoense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% | 24.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Sport Recife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% | 32.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Score Analysis |
Chapecoense 43.45%
Sport Recife 29.99%
Draw 26.55%
| Chapecoense | Draw | Sport Recife |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 8.84% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 8.99% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.99% |
How you voted: Chapecoense vs Sport
Chapecoense
62.5%Draw
25.0%Sport Recife
12.5%8


